SSC Bari vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
USF
1 - 1
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
BAR
3 - 1
PAD
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
PAL
1 - 2
BAR
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
VNZ
0 - 0
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
CAS
2 - 1
PES
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOR
18%
26%
56%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 1
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |