SSC Bari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CTT
0 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPE
49%
28%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
LEO
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TER
1 - 2
BAR
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
USC
0 - 1
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
USC
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
USF
1 - 2
BRE
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BRE
3 - 1
TER
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |