SSC Bari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
23%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 1
BAR
52%
29%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 1
TER
47%
30%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
FCC
2 - 3
BAR
68%
22%
10%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 1
CES
39%
32%
30%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 1
CES
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 4
BRE
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
AVE
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 1
BRE
49%
28%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |