SSC Bari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
68%
22%
10%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
56%
29%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 1
USF
45%
31%
25%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
TAR
2 - 0
BAR
44%
33%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
BAR
2 - 1
REG
63%
24%
12%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1973 |
BRE
0 - 0
REG
65%
24%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRE
44%
33%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASC
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BRE
46%
32%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
TAR
59%
26%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |