SSC Bari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
USA
0 - 0
BAR
46%
29%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
POT
2 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
BAR
0 - 0
FCC
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAR
37%
31%
32%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAR
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAD
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
LEC
1 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASS
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |