SSC Bari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
USA
4 - 2
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
BAR
2 - 1
PRO
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
UNI
0 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
BAR
1 - 0
COM
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
NOV
5 - 3
BAR
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
BRE
0 - 1
VER
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 0
VNZ
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
ASS
1 - 4
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
CAG
1 - 0
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
BRE
0 - 1
CAT
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |