SSC Bari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
NAP
2 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 1
JUV
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
ROM
3 - 0
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
52%
22%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
ACM
4 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 0
FIO
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 0
BRE
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 1
BOL
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 0
BRE
66%
19%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |