SSC Bari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
BAR
0 - 1
FIO
25%
24%
52%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
49%
30%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAM
60%
26%
14%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
FIO
4 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAR
38%
33%
30%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 0
SSS
58%
27%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
PIS
4 - 0
BOL
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAD
56%
27%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
CES
0 - 0
BOL
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
52%
29%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |