SSC Bari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 0
LIV
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1948 |
TOR
2 - 0
BAR
92%
6%
3%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
ATL
0 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASL
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAD
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
ASL
1 - 1
BOL
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
ACM
2 - 2
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 2
SAM
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |