SSC Bari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
GEN
3 - 0
BAR
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEO
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
LEO
2 - 0
BOL
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
BOL
6 - 1
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
USA
1 - 6
BOL
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
BOL
2 - 0
NAP
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |