Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 3-1
SSC Bari vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
BOL
3 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAP
21%
29%
51%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
BAR
4 - 0
GEN
53%
28%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ATL
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
22%
29%
50%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
ATL
4 - 1
FEN
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
LEC
0 - 0
ATL
37%
29%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |