SSC Bari vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
VER
4 - 2
BAR
63%
20%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
BAR
1 - 2
VNZ
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
REG
1 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOD
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SIR
6 - 0
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 1
MES
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VIC
4 - 1
SPE
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
TRE
4 - 2
SPE
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
75%
15%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |