SSC Bari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
16%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
TAR
0 - 0
BAR
37%
32%
31%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
BAR
1 - 0
SSS
60%
27%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
BAR
1 - 0
TRI
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 1
BAR
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
TRI
2 - 1
VAR
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 0
EMP
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
PAD
2 - 1
VAR
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
CAG
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |