SSC Bari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
24.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 2
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
31%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
BAR
5 - 0
CAV
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 1
BAR
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
PES
2 - 0
BAR
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPA
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
VAR
3 - 2
PRG
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRE
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
PAL
2 - 0
VAR
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |