SSC Bari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
16%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
CES
2 - 0
BAR
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAZ
34%
32%
35%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 1
VER
56%
28%
16%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAL
47%
30%
23%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
VAR
0 - 1
GEN
44%
30%
27%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 0
VAR
56%
27%
17%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
PES
48%
29%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |