SSC Bari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
27.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
62%
25%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAR
61%
26%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
BAR
1 - 0
USC
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
PIS
0 - 0
BAR
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAM
38%
33%
30%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
43%
30%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
CES
44%
30%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |