SSC Bari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
32.3%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.3%
34.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
BAR
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 2
ATL
36%
34%
30%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAR
62%
26%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
BAR
67%
23%
11%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
1 - 0
REG
61%
27%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
61%
26%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
40%
32%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
NOV
57%
27%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 1
PAR
63%
26%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |