SSC Bari vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
VNZ
2 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 0
VNZ
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
PIA
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
MES
4 - 0
ACI
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 1
CRO
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 0
BEN
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 2
ACI
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 0
FER
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |