SSC Bari vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
GRO
4 - 3
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SAS
2 - 1
BAR
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ACL
3 - 0
MAS
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ACL
2 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 1
ACL
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACL
3 - 0
TRE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COM
3 - 0
ACL
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |