SSC Bari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
BAR
35%
29%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 1
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
CTT
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUO
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
PRG
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
80%
15%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
SAN
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |