SSC Bari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 0
BAR
57%
27%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
BAR
3 - 1
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
LEC
0 - 1
BAR
40%
33%
27%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRI
77%
16%
6%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
ASS
3 - 2
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
CES
2 - 0
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CES
47%
32%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
59%
26%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BRE
0 - 1
CES
61%
26%
14%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |