Supertaça Final
Global 2-1
AS Aviação vs Sagrada Esperança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Aviação
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
PET
0 - 2
ASA
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ASA
3 - 1
PET
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +3 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
INT
0 - 2
ASA
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
ASA
4 - 1
INT
6%
16%
79%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ASA
1 - 2
CAN
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sagrada Esperança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ASE
1 - 0
SAG
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SAG
2 - 2
ASE
32%
24%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
PRI
3 - 0
SAG
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
SAG
0 - 0
PRI
30%
25%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |