Supertaça Final
Global 1-0
AS Aviação vs Interclube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
60.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Aviação
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
INT
0 - 0
ASA
77%
15%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ASA
0 - 1
APR
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
APR
3 - 2
ASA
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
SAG
1 - 2
ASA
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
ASA
0 - 0
SAG
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Interclube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
INT
0 - 0
ASA
77%
15%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
INT
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
INT
0 - 1
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
REC
0 - 1
INT
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
INT
2 - 0
SAG
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |