Arzanese vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARZ
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
3 - 2
FCC
82%
12%
5%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
PRG
0 - 1
ARZ
67%
20%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
ARZ
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LAQ
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
USV
2 - 2
GAV
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
APR
3 - 2
USV
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
USV
0 - 0
VIG
28%
27%
45%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 1
USV
80%
16%
5%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
31%
27%
41%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |