Arzanese vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
ARZ
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TER
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FON
2 - 1
ARZ
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FOL
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
USP
1 - 2
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
USP
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
USP
3 - 0
RAA
61%
24%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 0
USP
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
APR
1 - 0
USP
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |