Arzanese vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 1
ARZ
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MES
32%
27%
42%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
USP
2 - 2
ARZ
48%
26%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
APR
1 - 1
ARZ
59%
23%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
3 - 0
VIG
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 0
NUO
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
2 - 2
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TUT
1 - 2
NUO
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TER
3 - 0
NUO
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |