Arzanese vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
ARZ
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ASM
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FAN
70%
18%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EBO
3 - 2
ARZ
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FON
1 - 1
CAM
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
FON
71%
19%
11%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FON
0 - 1
MIL
36%
25%
39%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 1
FON
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FON
2 - 1
GIU
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |