Arzanese vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 1
ARZ
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARZ
3 - 2
USF
31%
25%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TER
1 - 2
ARZ
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASM
47%
25%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
APR
0 - 0
TUT
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 1
APR
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
APR
3 - 1
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
APR
33%
26%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
APR
3 - 1
TER
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |