Arzanese vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RAA
0 - 1
ARZ
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CAM
67%
20%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 2
ARZ
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VIG
3 - 2
ARZ
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ACI
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 1
GAV
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 0
APR
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
APR
2 - 2
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
EBO
0 - 0
APR
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
FCC
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |