Arzachena vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
62.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
ARZ
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NUO
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 0
ARZ
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SAS
29%
27%
44%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 1
ARZ
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
VIT
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
GRO
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GRO
3 - 2
CYN
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 0
GRO
16%
24%
61%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
3 - 1
OLB
82%
13%
6%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |