Arzachena vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BUD
1 - 1
ARZ
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FON
6 - 0
ARZ
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -3 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 0
OLB
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 0
APR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
OST
1 - 0
VIT
34%
22%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BUD
1 - 1
OST
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OST
3 - 1
AST
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CYN
2 - 0
OST
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
OST
4 - 0
TCA
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |