Arzachena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
JS2
1 - 0
ARZ
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 1
ARZ
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ARZ
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
ARZ
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 4
ACD
15%
25%
60%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ASL
0 - 0
GOZ
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ASL
2 - 2
USA
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 1
ASL
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIS
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASL
58%
25%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |