Arzachena vs Lanusei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
ARZ
12%
22%
66%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RIE
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
ARZ
32%
28%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 1
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
26%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lanusei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 2
SAS
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
OST
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
LAN
30%
24%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 2
LAQ
15%
23%
62%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIE
3 - 0
LAN
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |