Arzachena vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
54.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
ARZ
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ULD
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
ARZ
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARZ
3 - 0
MUR
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ULD
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
OST
61%
25%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RIE
1 - 1
LAQ
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
LAQ
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
LAQ
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |