Arzachena vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ARZ
3 - 4
PIS
23%
30%
47%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 1
ARZ
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PIA
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PON
0 - 2
ARZ
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 2
SIE
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 0
PIA
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 0
GAV
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 1
ACP
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 1
GAV
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
OLB
4 - 3
GAV
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |