Arzachena vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ARZ
25%
27%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
FLA
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAS
1 - 1
ARZ
18%
25%
58%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
5 - 0
SSD
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
LAN
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
OST
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
AVE
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 2
LAQ
25%
25%
51%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 5
PES
3%
8%
90%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
RIE
1 - 2
AVE
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |