Arucas vs Villa Santa Brígida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
11º
47
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 0
ARU
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ARU
2 - 3
CDM
26%
24%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
ARU
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ARU
2 - 4
CDT
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
ARU
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Santa Brígida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 1
VSB
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VSB
0 - 0
LPA
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VSB
2 - 1
UPR
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 3
VSB
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VSB
1 - 0
CDM
27%
25%
49%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |