Arucas vs Vera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 0
ARU
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARU
1 - 0
TEL
32%
26%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SDT
1 - 0
ARU
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ARU
1 - 2
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TEL
1 - 0
ARU
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VER
0 - 2
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LPA
0 - 0
VER
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 1
VER
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
TEL
41%
25%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
UNV
2 - 3
VER
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |