Arucas vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
UNV
4 - 2
ARU
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ARU
1 - 0
LAN
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 1
ARU
65%
19%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ARU
0 - 2
VSB
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 0
ARU
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
UDS
2 - 1
UDL
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
UDS
0 - 1
UDG
79%
13%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
UDS
3 - 0
UNV
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 1
UDS
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
UPR
3 - 1
UDS
20%
23%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |