Arucas vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SDT
2 - 1
ARU
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ARU
2 - 0
CDB
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VER
2 - 2
ARU
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARU
3 - 0
UDL
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
UNV
2 - 1
ARU
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 0
UNV
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
HBN
2 - 1
LAN
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 1
YAI
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 1
LAN
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 0
PAS
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |