Arucas vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LPA
3 - 0
ARU
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARU
57%
22%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ARU
1 - 1
VER
36%
24%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 0
ARU
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARU
1 - 0
TEL
32%
26%
43%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VER
1 - 1
LAN
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 5
CDB
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TEL
1 - 2
LAN
37%
28%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
4 - 2
SDT
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |