Arucas vs Llanos Aridane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
7º
15
10º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 25 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 20 |
18º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 3
ARU
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ARU
0 - 0
TAM
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 0
ARU
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARU
1 - 0
HBN
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SBA
0 - 1
ARU
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Llanos Aridane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 0
UDS
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UNV
2 - 2
LLA
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
EST
46%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 1
LLA
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 1
UDI
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |