Arucas vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
11º
25
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CSU
4 - 2
ARU
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ARU
0 - 1
UDG
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARU
1 - 0
UPR
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LPA
1 - 0
ARU
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ARU
3 - 1
VSB
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 0
LPA
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VSB
4 - 0
UDI
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
UDI
1 - 4
LAN
23%
25%
53%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
3 - 0
UDI
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 0
MAR
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |