Arucas vs Herbania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
4º
4º
2
11º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 70 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 69 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 68 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 55 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 49 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 49 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 31 |
18º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 48.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SBA
0 - 1
ARU
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARU
1 - 0
CSU
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARU
2 - 0
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 1
ARU
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ARU
4 - 0
UPR
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Herbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HBN
1 - 1
UDS
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UNV
1 - 1
HBN
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LPA
2 - 0
HBN
80%
13%
6%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HBN
2 - 1
VSB
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 0
HBN
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |