Arucas U19 vs Doramas Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+174%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
8º
3º
19
8º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 83 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 70 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 21 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
55% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ARU
2 - 4
MLL
15%
22%
63%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
USY
2 - 1
ARU
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 3
ARU
48%
24%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARU
2 - 1
JUV
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ARU
1 - 1
UNI
47%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Doramas Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 3
CDL
23%
23%
55%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
UNI
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SOB
6 - 0
DOR
71%
17%
13%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DOR
5 - 1
PAS
19%
19%
62%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BHO
2 - 0
DOR
60%
19%
21%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |