Arucas U19 vs At. Barranco Hondo Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+321%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
8º
3º
23
9º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 83 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 70 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 21 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
55% | 11.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
14.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 3
ARU
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARU
3 - 1
ACD
24%
22%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDJ
4 - 4
ARU
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ARU
3 - 0
ADH
33%
24%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 1
ARU
40%
22%
38%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
At. Barranco Hondo Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ACD
3 - 0
BHO
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BHO
4 - 4
ADH
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
USY
1 - 3
BHO
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BHO
3 - 0
JUV
20%
21%
60%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LPM
6 - 1
BHO
92%
5%
2%
|
6 | 33 | 27 | 0 |