Aruba U20 vs Nicaragua U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
66.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 3
ARU
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ARU
1 - 1
MAF
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
JAM
0 - 0
ARU
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GTM
2 - 0
ARU
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
ARU
0 - 8
USA
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 3
JAM
22%
20%
59%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MEX
7 - 0
NIC
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 0
GTM
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +4 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
SLV
4 - 0
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 2
HND
18%
22%
59%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |