Arua Hill vs Uganda Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
UGA
0 - 0
AHS
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
AHS
1 - 0
VIP
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
BUL
4 - 0
AHS
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
WAK
1 - 2
AHS
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
AHS
2 - 1
UPD
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
UGA
0 - 0
AHS
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
UPD
0 - 1
UGA
47%
26%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
5 - 0
BRI
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
SOA
1 - 3
UGA
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
3 - 1
JIN
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |