Arua Hill vs KCCA FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 0
AHS
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
0 - 1
GAD
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 2
BUL
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VIP
2 - 0
AHS
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AHS
0 - 1
JIN
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
KCCA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
KCC
0 - 2
NEC
84%
10%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 1
KCC
45%
23%
33%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KCC
1 - 2
EXP
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
KCC
1 - 2
MFC
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 0
KCC
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |