Arua Hill vs Busoga United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 0
WAK
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
AHS
36%
29%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 4
JIN
71%
16%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
BUL
0 - 0
AHS
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
AHS
4 - 1
EXP
57%
24%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Busoga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIP
5 - 0
JIN
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
JIN
0 - 0
KCC
31%
29%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 4
JIN
71%
16%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
JIN
0 - 0
WAK
38%
27%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 0
JIN
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |